Lucena vs Jerez Industrial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
31.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
UDT
0 - 1
LUC
43%
26%
31%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
LUC
2 - 0
AYA
52%
27%
21%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
LUC
3 - 0
REC
33%
29%
39%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
UDS
3 - 1
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
LUC
3 - 1
SCF
62%
23%
15%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez Industrial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2000 |
JER
2 - 2
UDS
46%
25%
28%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2000 |
SCF
1 - 2
JER
23%
25%
52%
|
31 | 19 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2000 |
JER
1 - 0
BET
14%
23%
63%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +3 |
| 01 Nov. 2000 |
POZ
2 - 3
JER
56%
24%
20%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2000 |
JER
1 - 0
BAR
53%
25%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |