Lucena vs Iliturgi CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
38.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
GUA
3 - 1
LUC
74%
15%
12%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
LUC
1 - 1
POZ
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
RON
5 - 2
LUC
65%
18%
18%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
LUC
2 - 1
ANT
47%
21%
32%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
MAL
3 - 1
LUC
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Iliturgi CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
ILI
4 - 0
ATB
90%
7%
4%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
CAA
1 - 2
ILI
68%
17%
15%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
ILI
3 - 0
PEN
74%
14%
12%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 1956 |
ILI
4 - 0
LIN
81%
11%
8%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1956 |
ILI
7 - 0
LIN
79%
12%
9%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |