Lucena vs Guadix CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
POZ
3 - 4
LUC
50%
21%
28%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
LUC
1 - 0
RON
66%
18%
17%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
ANT
1 - 1
LUC
75%
14%
11%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1956 |
LUC
2 - 1
MAL
67%
17%
16%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
LUC
2 - 2
GRA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guadix CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 1957 |
GUA
3 - 0
ATB
75%
15%
11%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1957 |
CAA
3 - 0
GUA
74%
15%
11%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 1957 |
GUA
1 - 0
PEN
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 1956 |
LIN
6 - 0
GUA
76%
14%
11%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1956 |
GUA
3 - 0
UBE
50%
22%
28%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | +2 |