Lucena vs Recreativo Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
LUC
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 2
BAL
42%
27%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
CRD
0 - 1
LUC
21%
28%
52%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
ALM
56%
25%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MEL
1 - 0
LUC
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Recreativo Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 1
PAL
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ECI
1 - 4
GRA
52%
25%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
ALG
60%
22%
18%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
CAD
2 - 1
GRA
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
3 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +2 |