Lucena vs Dos Hermanas CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
34.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
LUC
3 - 1
SJO
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
ANT
0 - 1
LUC
33%
25%
42%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 1
SCF
63%
23%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
AYA
1 - 2
LUC
24%
25%
51%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 0
ATC
69%
20%
11%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Dos Hermanas CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2003 |
DHE
2 - 0
BAL
57%
24%
20%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2003 |
MON
0 - 2
DHE
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2003 |
DHE
2 - 1
ARC
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
COR
3 - 1
DHE
36%
28%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
DHE
4 - 3
SJO
76%
15%
9%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |