Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
27.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
LUC
1 - 1
UBC
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
POR
1 - 2
LUC
45%
27%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 3
G74
45%
27%
28%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
ROQ
3 - 0
LUC
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 3
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
PUE
2 - 0
SFE
53%
25%
22%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SFE
1 - 1
AGD
30%
28%
42%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CDL
1 - 2
SFE
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
SFE
0 - 1
MEL
28%
28%
44%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
ECI
2 - 0
SFE
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |