Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
17%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
46.2%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 1
LUC
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LUC
2 - 0
CRD
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 1
LUC
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
LUC
0 - 1
ARC
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
CAD
1 - 2
LUC
50%
25%
25%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
SFE
1 - 1
BOL
71%
19%
10%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 2
SFE
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
SFE
3 - 0
POZ
62%
22%
16%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2005 |
CRD
1 - 1
SFE
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2005 |
SFE
1 - 1
BAL
57%
23%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |