Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.9%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
43.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
CCF
0 - 1
LUC
41%
26%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 0
POR
47%
27%
26%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
CAR
2 - 2
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 0
AGU
26%
29%
46%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SOL
1 - 0
LUC
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2004 |
SFE
3 - 0
VVA
49%
26%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
SCF
1 - 2
SFE
31%
28%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
SFE
1 - 1
ANT
68%
19%
13%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
DHE
0 - 3
SFE
42%
27%
31%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MON
0 - 1
SFE
31%
27%
42%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |