Lucena vs CD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.6%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
39.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
CAD
4 - 0
LUC
59%
23%
19%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
LUC
0 - 2
MAI
56%
25%
19%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
LEB
3 - 2
LUC
44%
26%
30%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
LUC
1 - 1
COR
45%
27%
28%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
MON
1 - 0
LUC
37%
28%
35%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
CD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1994 |
SFE
0 - 0
PAL
58%
24%
18%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1994 |
BAL
0 - 0
SFE
51%
27%
22%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1994 |
SFE
1 - 0
ATC
64%
21%
14%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1994 |
UDR
1 - 2
SFE
40%
28%
32%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 1994 |
SFE
4 - 0
JER
73%
18%
9%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |