Lucena vs Coria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
CCF
0 - 4
LUC
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
LUC
3 - 1
SAN
39%
27%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
LUC
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
LUC
3 - 1
JER
32%
29%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BET
1 - 1
LUC
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2005 |
COR
1 - 2
PAL
35%
29%
37%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
NUE
1 - 2
COR
42%
26%
32%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
COR
2 - 3
DHE
51%
26%
23%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SOL
0 - 1
COR
36%
26%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
COR
2 - 2
SFE
32%
27%
41%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +1 |