Lucena vs Coria CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
SAN
4 - 3
LUC
27%
27%
46%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
LUC
2 - 3
MON
56%
25%
19%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
PUE
0 - 2
LUC
35%
28%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
LUC
1 - 0
PAL
41%
29%
31%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
CAD
1 - 0
LUC
54%
24%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Coria CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1995 |
COR
2 - 1
AGD
66%
20%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1995 |
POZ
3 - 0
COR
72%
18%
11%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 1995 |
COR
2 - 1
ATC
47%
27%
27%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1995 |
ICR
2 - 1
COR
62%
22%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1995 |
COR
2 - 1
JER
55%
25%
20%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |