Lucena vs Conil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
26.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
SRQ
3 - 1
LUC
73%
18%
9%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
LUC
4 - 1
UTR
26%
29%
46%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
ALG
2 - 1
LUC
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
LUC
1 - 1
POZ
21%
26%
53%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1996 |
SAN
6 - 5
LUC
76%
17%
7%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Conil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
CON
0 - 0
BAL
36%
28%
36%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
SFE
3 - 0
CON
74%
17%
10%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
CON
2 - 0
CAD
38%
26%
37%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 1996 |
UDR
2 - 1
CON
37%
26%
37%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 1996 |
CON
3 - 2
LAP
24%
27%
49%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | +2 |