Lucena vs CF Villanovense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUC
36%
27%
37%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 3
CPC
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 2
ALM
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
55%
27%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CF Villanovense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 3
ECI
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
VIL
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
CPC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UCA
0 - 1
VIL
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
BET
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |