Lucena vs CD Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
0 - 2
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 1
ECI
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALG
0 - 0
LUC
25%
27%
48%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 0
CAD
35%
28%
38%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
LUC
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
CD Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
GRA
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 2
GUA
16%
25%
59%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
73%
18%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
ECI
1 - 2
GUA
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 2
BAL
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |