Lucena vs CD Electromecánica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
EGA
5 - 1
LUC
55%
21%
25%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
LUC
0 - 1
COR
41%
23%
36%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
LUC
4 - 1
CAL
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
LIN
1 - 1
LUC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
LUC
1 - 2
CDB
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
CD Electromecánica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1946 |
EME
2 - 4
REC
28%
22%
51%
|
22 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1946 |
RJA
5 - 1
EME
87%
9%
5%
|
22 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1946 |
EME
3 - 2
MER
48%
21%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
EGA
2 - 0
EME
66%
17%
16%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
EME
1 - 2
COR
32%
23%
46%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |