Lucena vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
2 - 1
LUC
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BAL
2 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
22%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
PAL
50%
25%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
6 - 0
LUC
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 1
SRQ
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
PAL
1 - 1
CAR
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
ALM
59%
22%
18%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SRQ
2 - 2
CAR
22%
28%
50%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
0 - 0
SEV
72%
18%
10%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |