Lucena vs FC Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21.5%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
34.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SEV
2 - 2
LUC
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LIN
2 - 2
LUC
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 35 | 22 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
LUC
23%
26%
52%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
LOJ
0 - 0
LUC
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
LUC
2 - 2
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 11 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
FC Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
63 | 41 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
CAU
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
CAU
0 - 0
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
CPC
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
UCA
2 - 2
CAR
26%
28%
46%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |