Lucena vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.7%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
10.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
62%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
17.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.6%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
VIL
3 - 0
LUC
61%
22%
16%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 3
CRD
49%
26%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
LUC
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
ARR
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 0
BAL
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
CAD
2 - 2
BAL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PAL
0 - 0
CAD
15%
24%
61%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
CAD
3 - 0
ALM
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
SRQ
0 - 2
CAD
15%
24%
61%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
CAD
0 - 2
SEV
78%
16%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |