Lucena vs Cádiz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ECI
0 - 2
LUC
51%
26%
22%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 4
ALB
35%
28%
37%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CPC
1 - 1
LUC
51%
27%
22%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 2
UCA
73%
17%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
BET
3 - 2
LUC
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Cádiz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 1
MEL
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ECI
2 - 0
CAD
36%
28%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CAD
0 - 0
ROD
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 0
CAD
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 5
ARR
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -2 |