Lucena vs CP Cacereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
LUC
4 - 2
ALM
54%
25%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
RJA
3 - 1
LUC
55%
27%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 0
MEL
39%
28%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ROD
1 - 0
LUC
30%
28%
41%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
LUC
5 - 0
ARR
64%
22%
15%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
CP Cacereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
CPC
2 - 0
BET
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
CPC
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 1
SAN
63%
23%
14%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
0 - 0
CPC
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CPC
0 - 2
RJA
35%
30%
35%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |