Lucena vs Cabecense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
25.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ARC
1 - 0
LUC
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LEB
1 - 1
LUC
32%
25%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 2
BAR
66%
20%
14%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CON
0 - 1
LUC
37%
26%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LUC
3 - 3
SRO
53%
23%
24%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cabecense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 0
ARC
45%
25%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 3
CAB
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
1 - 1
UTR
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
SEV
2 - 2
CAB
49%
25%
26%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
CAB
2 - 1
CAS
43%
25%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |