Lucena vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
24.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
LUC
2 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ARC
0 - 0
LUC
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 1
CCF
59%
24%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BET
2 - 0
LUC
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 1
ALG
36%
30%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2007 |
BAR
1 - 0
AYA
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
AYA
0 - 0
BAL
38%
28%
34%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 1
AYA
40%
29%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
AYA
2 - 1
JER
62%
23%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
CRD
1 - 2
AYA
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |