Lucena vs Ayamonte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
43.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
SAN
1 - 1
LUC
53%
25%
23%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
LUC
0 - 0
POZ
43%
27%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
COR
1 - 2
LUC
62%
21%
17%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
LUC
2 - 1
BAL
47%
27%
27%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
CDR
1 - 0
LUC
55%
23%
22%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ayamonte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1997 |
AYA
0 - 1
RAM
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1997 |
UTR
1 - 1
AYA
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1997 |
AYA
0 - 0
RAY
78%
15%
7%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1997 |
LAP
1 - 0
AYA
26%
26%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1997 |
AYA
2 - 0
CAD
71%
19%
10%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |