Lucena vs Atlético Antoniano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
DHE
0 - 0
LUC
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SFE
5 - 0
LUC
52%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
LUC
0 - 0
CCF
35%
28%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
POR
1 - 0
LUC
25%
26%
49%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 1
CAR
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Antoniano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
1 - 0
VVA
33%
27%
40%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ANT
3 - 1
SCF
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MON
3 - 1
ANT
35%
26%
39%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2004 |
DHE
2 - 0
ANT
64%
21%
15%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ANT
1 - 3
SFE
54%
24%
22%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |