Lucena vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LUC
1 - 6
CIS
45%
25%
30%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
2 - 2
SAN
27%
26%
48%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
UTR
3 - 1
LUC
11%
20%
69%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -2 |
| 11 Sep. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
SEV
70%
19%
11%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
LUC
9%
19%
72%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
ARC
69%
19%
13%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAN
66%
20%
15%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
4 - 0
UTR
79%
14%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
SEV
0 - 0
SAN
27%
26%
48%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 1
CAS
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |