Lucena vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
ARC
0 - 0
LUC
50%
25%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 1
CCF
59%
24%
17%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
BET
2 - 0
LUC
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
LUC
0 - 1
ALG
36%
30%
35%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CEU
1 - 1
LUC
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
BAR
36%
27%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2006 |
BAL
2 - 0
SAN
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
46%
27%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2006 |
JER
2 - 1
SAN
25%
26%
50%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
AYA
46%
27%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |