Lucena vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
MAI
3 - 1
LUC
34%
27%
39%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SFE
1 - 1
LUC
60%
23%
17%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
LUC
1 - 0
PAL
46%
28%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CRD
0 - 2
LUC
44%
26%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 2
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
SAN
5 - 1
PAL
48%
27%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
CRD
1 - 3
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
0 - 0
BAR
45%
27%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ARC
2 - 2
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 2
CAD
55%
25%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |