Lucena vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
34.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 1
LUC
62%
22%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
LUC
3 - 1
JER
32%
29%
39%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
BET
1 - 1
LUC
70%
19%
12%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
LUC
0 - 1
BOL
44%
27%
28%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
VVA
1 - 0
LUC
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
PAL
39%
28%
33%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NUE
2 - 1
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 2
DHE
65%
21%
14%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
SOL
1 - 3
SAN
29%
25%
47%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 0
SFE
34%
27%
40%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |