Lucena vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.8%
17.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
BAL
4 - 0
LUC
34%
27%
39%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 1
NUE
69%
20%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
MON
2 - 3
LUC
29%
26%
45%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
VVA
2 - 1
LUC
45%
25%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
LUC
1 - 0
SCF
55%
25%
21%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 3
VVA
33%
27%
40%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SCF
2 - 4
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
ANT
41%
24%
35%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
DHE
1 - 1
SAN
77%
16%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SAN
2 - 5
SFE
42%
27%
31%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | -2 |