Lucena vs At. Sanluqueño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.1%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
27.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
VVA
2 - 2
LUC
47%
26%
28%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
LUC
0 - 0
AYA
56%
26%
18%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
ARC
1 - 1
LUC
42%
28%
30%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
LUC
3 - 1
REC
36%
30%
35%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
CCF
0 - 3
LUC
37%
28%
35%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
At. Sanluqueño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
SAN
3 - 1
BAR
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MON
0 - 5
SAN
42%
28%
30%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SAN
2 - 2
CRD
50%
25%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
CAC
2 - 2
SAN
41%
26%
33%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
SAN
0 - 0
LAP
54%
25%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |