Lucena vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
2 - 0
LUC
68%
20%
13%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
CAS
42%
25%
33%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ECI
2 - 0
LUC
66%
19%
14%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CIS
0 - 0
ARC
63%
20%
17%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
2 - 1
SAN
20%
25%
56%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | +2 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
UTR
2 - 1
ARC
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 0
SEV
43%
26%
30%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
42%
26%
33%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |