Lucena vs Arcos CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
LUC
1 - 2
MAI
61%
25%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
LUC
1 - 1
SFE
26%
27%
46%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
1 - 1
LUC
51%
26%
23%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
LUC
2 - 0
CRD
41%
27%
32%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Arcos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 1
PAL
36%
26%
39%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
CRD
0 - 1
ARC
57%
22%
22%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
ARC
1 - 2
BAR
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ARC
0 - 0
ARC
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ARC
2 - 1
CAD
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |