Lucena vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CAD
2 - 0
LUC
55%
25%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
LUC
4 - 0
SAN
58%
24%
18%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
CPC
0 - 2
LUC
51%
27%
23%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
ROD
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
CAR
3 - 0
LUC
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
PAL
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
ECI
0 - 0
ALG
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
GUA
2 - 2
ALG
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ALG
2 - 1
CAD
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SAN
2 - 2
ALG
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |