Lucena vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
34.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
CEU
1 - 1
LUC
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
LUC
2 - 0
CAD
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SFE
0 - 1
LUC
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
LUC
3 - 0
XRZ
71%
18%
10%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
MAI
3 - 1
LUC
33%
27%
40%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2006 |
BAL
1 - 0
ALG
32%
30%
38%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
ALG
2 - 1
PAL
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
JER
0 - 1
ALG
22%
28%
50%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ALG
4 - 0
AYA
52%
26%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |