Lucena vs Algeciras CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
12.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
52%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
16.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
UDT
1 - 2
LUC
56%
24%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
LUC
1 - 1
SFE
28%
29%
43%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
PAL
1 - 1
LUC
43%
27%
30%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
POR
0 - 0
LUC
45%
28%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
LUC
1 - 1
POZ
46%
29%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Algeciras CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAR
77%
16%
7%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
MON
1 - 1
ALG
19%
27%
54%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
ALG
2 - 0
CRD
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2000 |
ALG
1 - 2
CAC
78%
16%
7%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1999 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALG
24%
27%
48%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |