Lucena vs Alcalá de Guadaira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
REC
1 - 1
LUC
37%
28%
36%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
CIU
1 - 0
LUC
74%
15%
10%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
LUC
2 - 0
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
POR
1 - 2
LUC
25%
28%
48%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2001 |
LUC
2 - 1
CIU
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Alcalá de Guadaira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
AGU
1 - 1
MON
42%
27%
32%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
VVA
2 - 0
AGU
55%
24%
21%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
AGU
2 - 2
JER
33%
26%
41%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
RLI
0 - 1
AGU
25%
26%
50%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1982 |
AGU
3 - 3
BAL
48%
27%
24%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |