Lucena vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.2%
58.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
84%
12%
4%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CIS
2 - 0
LUC
83%
12%
5%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
ARC
26%
26%
49%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
LUC
84%
11%
4%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LUC
0 - 2
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
4 - 0
ARC
56%
24%
20%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
ALC
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
ALC
1 - 1
UTR
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
SEV
0 - 0
ALC
40%
26%
33%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
3 - 0
CAS
54%
24%
22%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |