Lucena vs CD Alcalá analysis

Lucena CD Alcalá
53 ELO 41
2.7% Tilt -13.3%
18719º General ELO ranking 11684º
5825º Country ELO ranking 1494º
ELO win probability
67.6%
Lucena
19.9%
Draw
12.5%
CD Alcalá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
Lucena
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.5%
Win probability
CD Alcalá
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Lucena
CD Alcalá
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Lucena
Lucena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2010
RJA
Real Jaén
0 - 0
Lucena
LUC
47%
29%
24%
52 56 4 0
07 Nov. 2010
LUC
Lucena
3 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
14%
22%
63%
50 68 18 +2
31 Oct. 2010
ROQ
Ciudad de Roquetas
3 - 0
Lucena
LUC
43%
26%
31%
52 49 3 -2
24 Oct. 2010
LUC
Lucena
0 - 2
Sevilla At.
SEV
44%
27%
29%
53 55 2 -1
17 Oct. 2010
PUE
Puertollano
3 - 1
Lucena
LUC
51%
27%
22%
54 58 4 -1

Matches

CD Alcalá
CD Alcalá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2010
ALC
CD Alcalá
0 - 1
Écija Balompié
ECI
28%
27%
45%
44 50 6 0
06 Nov. 2010
SRQ
San Roque de Lepe
1 - 1
CD Alcalá
ALC
63%
22%
15%
43 52 9 +1
31 Oct. 2010
ALC
CD Alcalá
0 - 1
AgD Ceuta
AGD
22%
27%
51%
44 58 14 -1
23 Oct. 2010
POL
Poli Ejido
0 - 0
CD Alcalá
ALC
73%
19%
9%
43 63 20 +1
17 Oct. 2010
ALC
CD Alcalá
0 - 0
Betis Deportivo
BET
23%
27%
51%
43 56 13 0