Lucena vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
24%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
RUT
2 - 0
LUC
48%
25%
27%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
IMP
3 - 1
LUC
48%
26%
27%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
LUC
2 - 1
JER
59%
23%
18%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
POZ
6 - 1
LUC
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
LUC
1 - 1
REC
54%
24%
22%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1984 |
ALC
1 - 2
CCF
68%
20%
12%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1984 |
ALC
1 - 0
RIO
64%
21%
15%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 1984 |
BRE
1 - 1
ALC
62%
22%
16%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1984 |
ALC
0 - 1
ILI
53%
25%
22%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 1983 |
BET
1 - 0
ALC
68%
20%
13%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |