Lucena vs AgD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
38.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CDL
0 - 2
LUC
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 0
MEL
29%
29%
42%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SFE
4 - 0
LUC
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2008 |
LUC
0 - 2
CDL
27%
27%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AgD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 2
PUE
54%
27%
20%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
AGD
3 - 0
ECI
37%
28%
34%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CDL
0 - 3
AGD
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2008 |
MEL
2 - 1
AGD
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
GIR
1 - 0
AGD
53%
24%
22%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |