Lucecor vs Peñarroya Pueblonuevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
65.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucecor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
6 - 0
LUC
78%
14%
8%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 4
VIL
13%
18%
69%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
EGA
2 - 1
LUC
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
LUC
2 - 3
REC
24%
21%
55%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 0
ADF
40%
23%
37%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Peñarroya Pueblonuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 0
ADF
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
1 - 1
CIU
52%
22%
26%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 3
PEN
28%
25%
47%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
3 - 0
VIL
86%
11%
4%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
0 - 4
PEN
35%
24%
42%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |