Lucecor vs Atco. Villanueva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
52%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lucecor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
LUC
68%
18%
14%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
CCS
1 - 1
LUC
42%
22%
36%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 4
COS
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PEN
3 - 0
LUC
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LUC
1 - 1
PAL
12%
17%
71%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atco. Villanueva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ATC
1 - 1
ADF
47%
22%
31%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
CIU
2 - 1
ATC
66%
18%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
ATC
0 - 1
PRI
41%
23%
36%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
ATC
40%
21%
39%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ATC
2 - 1
VIL
43%
22%
34%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |