Gallia Lucciana vs Ajaccio II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
27%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
2º
7º
7º
36
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gallia Lucciana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
DRA
60%
22%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
1 - 1
LUC
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
LUC
34%
24%
42%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LUC
2 - 1
SCR
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAS
3 - 2
LUC
69%
19%
13%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Ajaccio II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
5 - 0
EUA
81%
12%
7%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
GAZ
1 - 1
AJA
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
AJA
3 - 2
BAL
69%
17%
15%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IST
1 - 0
AJA
39%
24%
36%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |