VfB Lübeck vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
65.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.2%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
LUB
2 - 0
LSK
74%
17%
8%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
ALT
1 - 2
LUB
14%
20%
66%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LUB
3 - 1
JED
71%
19%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2019 |
LUB
1 - 0
SHW
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
LUB
5 - 2
VFL
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2019 |
STP
1 - 3
SGF
45%
26%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2019 |
ARB
1 - 1
STP
54%
24%
23%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
STP
57%
22%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
STP
1 - 0
WEI
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2019 |
WAT
3 - 2
STP
48%
23%
29%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |