VfB Lübeck vs St. Pauli II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
GER
2 - 1
LUB
14%
21%
65%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 1
LUB
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
LUB
2 - 2
BSV
66%
21%
14%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
WEI
0 - 2
LUB
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LUB
1 - 0
EIB
67%
21%
13%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
STP
0 - 2
HAV
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
GER
3 - 3
STP
19%
21%
60%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BSV
1 - 3
STP
34%
25%
40%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STP
0 - 0
WEI
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2016 |
EIB
2 - 2
STP
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |