VfB Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
17.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
WUP
1 - 1
LUB
27%
24%
49%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
LUB
2 - 0
HER
56%
21%
23%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
KFC
0 - 0
LUB
28%
25%
47%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
LUB
0 - 1
BVB
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
LUB
4 - 0
WOL
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 1
F95
59%
23%
19%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2004 |
BOR
0 - 2
HOL
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
HOL
4 - 0
BIE
59%
22%
20%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
PAD
5 - 1
HOL
63%
20%
17%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 0
FCU
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |