VfB Lübeck vs Holstein Kiel II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
STP
1 - 2
LUB
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 2
LUB
12%
19%
69%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
LUB
5 - 2
HSV
9%
16%
75%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
ROS
0 - 1
LUB
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
LUB
2 - 0
ALT
83%
13%
5%
|
56 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ITK
0 - 6
HOL
12%
15%
73%
|
41 | 17 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
HOL
1 - 3
EIN
41%
24%
36%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
VHG
2 - 1
HOL
40%
23%
38%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BOR
1 - 5
HOL
14%
18%
67%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
HOL
0 - 5
LUB
18%
21%
61%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |