VfB Lübeck vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
15.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
HER
1 - 0
LUB
23%
24%
53%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
LUB
0 - 2
WER
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
BOR
1 - 1
LUB
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
LUB
5 - 0
WUP
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2006 |
LUB
0 - 0
WAC
40%
25%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
FCU
2 - 0
BOR
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
WUP
2 - 1
FCU
57%
24%
19%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2006 |
FCU
1 - 2
MAG
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SGD
2 - 0
FCU
62%
23%
15%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
FCU
2 - 4
ERF
53%
25%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -2 |