VfB Lübeck vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18%
10%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
STP
1 - 1
LUB
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
LUB
3 - 1
HAM
61%
22%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
LUB
2 - 0
KFC
68%
19%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2005 |
OSN
0 - 2
LUB
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
LUB
5 - 0
DIE
57%
22%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2005 |
FCU
0 - 0
HOL
40%
27%
34%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2005 |
FCU
1 - 2
F95
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2005 |
BOR
1 - 0
FCU
49%
26%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
FCU
1 - 1
OSN
32%
27%
42%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
FCU
2 - 0
BIE
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | +1 |