VfB Lübeck II vs Union Neumünster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.8%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
67.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
5.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
8º
15º
11º
62
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VfB Lübeck II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HEI
0 - 3
LUB
57%
20%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
LUB
0 - 1
FLE
17%
18%
65%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
NOR
5 - 2
LUB
39%
21%
40%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 1
LUB
22%
19%
59%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
LUB
4 - 4
WEF
80%
12%
8%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Union Neumünster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
DOR
87%
9%
4%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
WEF
1 - 5
UNI
6%
12%
82%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 0
ECK
82%
11%
7%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
HOH
2 - 6
UNI
10%
14%
76%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
UNI
5 - 0
VFR
87%
9%
4%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |